Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.007994 0.008993 0.010086 0.011373 0.012849 0.014493 0.016470
2025-01-12 0.006171 0.007469 0.009011 0.010989 0.013475 0.016516 0.020551
2025-01-19 0.005186 0.006580 0.008328 0.010703 0.013875 0.018016 0.023904
2025-01-26 0.004597 0.006060 0.007976 0.010704 0.014542 0.019830 0.027813
2025-02-02 0.004307 0.005874 0.008009 0.011179 0.015853 0.022626 0.033439
2025-02-09 0.003910 0.005484 0.007701 0.011114 0.016350 0.024275 0.037556
2025-02-16 0.003629 0.005224 0.007538 0.011221 0.017088 0.026338 0.042582
2025-02-23 0.003322 0.004891 0.007229 0.011060 0.017368 0.027684 0.046581
2025-03-02 0.003132 0.004713 0.007130 0.011208 0.018146 0.029917 0.052417
2025-03-09 0.002915 0.004473 0.006909 0.011127 0.018520 0.031488 0.057263
2025-03-16 0.002645 0.004126 0.006487 0.010664 0.018173 0.031727 0.059593
2025-03-23 0.002483 0.003940 0.006309 0.010600 0.018520 0.033260 0.064684
2025-03-30 0.002425 0.003926 0.006429 0.011087 0.019972 0.037135 0.075410
2025-04-06 0.002222 0.003653 0.006085 0.010708 0.019751 0.037736 0.079286
2025-04-13 0.002056 0.003432 0.005811 0.010430 0.019689 0.038638 0.083978
2025-04-20 0.001949 0.003304 0.005693 0.010432 0.020183 0.040755 0.091876
2025-04-27 0.001915 0.003305 0.005806 0.010893 0.021673 0.045228 0.106370
2025-05-04 0.001814 0.003174 0.005664 0.010830 0.022043 0.047248 0.115061
2025-05-11 0.001742 0.003093 0.005608 0.010934 0.022785 0.050230 0.126911
2025-05-18 0.001646 0.002957 0.005435 0.010777 0.022922 0.051781 0.135125
2025-05-25 0.001590 0.002896 0.005406 0.010921 0.023764 0.055182 0.149388
2025-06-01 0.001515 0.002791 0.005279 0.010843 0.024073 0.057279 0.160236
2025-06-08 0.001407 0.002615 0.004997 0.010393 0.023435 0.056826 0.163093